Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 4.202475 4.997829 5.881912 6.934522 8.150513 9.507897 11.134488
2025-09-28 3.029016 4.043091 5.285400 6.907075 8.954428 11.438466 14.663802
2025-10-05 2.488000 3.648192 5.184964 7.341578 10.256968 14.023827 19.214563
2025-10-12 2.051639 3.266394 4.987987 7.557386 11.235209 16.239729 23.477191
2025-10-19 1.760929 3.014914 4.900298 7.867363 12.325633 18.661069 28.197185
2025-10-26 1.469245 2.696221 4.646991 7.872594 12.940882 20.433269 32.124848
2025-11-02 1.187925 2.334610 4.260171 7.599916 13.076287 21.479534 35.042479
2025-11-09 0.968662 2.033804 3.918367 7.337813 13.172639 22.439774 37.866651
2025-11-16 0.833572 1.858648 3.759796 7.350872 13.697632 24.086101 41.849789
2025-11-23 0.722548 1.707439 3.618347 7.368087 14.217464 25.747538 45.958557
2025-11-30 0.620057 1.552749 3.445058 7.299683 14.569898 27.143848 49.714746
2025-12-07 0.507672 1.353071 3.151868 6.963254 14.396601 27.618130 51.939577
2025-12-14 0.438708 1.239456 3.020095 6.931933 14.797033 29.144995 56.124629
2025-12-21 0.379324 1.135973 2.893726 6.894779 15.181127 30.671668 60.420915
2025-12-28 0.361012 1.132222 2.986453 7.325527 16.520345 34.035485 68.220610
2026-01-04 0.329984 1.088165 2.979939 7.539972 17.441532 36.681835 74.878153
2026-01-11 0.307742 1.063470 3.015022 7.849026 18.581832 39.817576 82.628768
2026-01-18 0.271819 0.991003 2.922027 7.854158 19.081035 41.745338 88.221744
2026-01-25 0.227994 0.883375 2.722079 7.582020 18.954198 42.425778 91.465221
2026-02-01 0.191323 0.788133 2.537488 7.320458 18.819667 43.071149 94.666482
2026-02-08 0.170004 0.738306 2.467644 7.333486 19.301505 45.001552 100.510261
2026-02-15 0.151416 0.692989 2.402858 7.350665 19.792393 46.979651 106.559360
2026-02-22 0.132569 0.641227 2.310263 7.282404 20.073608 48.528910 111.819388